Onward and upward? And downward? And up again?
We’ve had some ups and downs since last week, when Q’s Winter Wonderland began. Zen:Dilithium prices reached the lowest I’ve ever seen, and the volume on the market has been going back up. It’s a little odd there is so much volume buying Dilithium at current pricing, though. At least, right now and at these prices. I would’ve imagined heavy Dilithium buyers would prefer to try and force the price back to being more pro-Zen (right now its very pro-Dilithium)!
Now, that said, I’ve heard at least one person claim there are groups of people/players trying to lower the exchange rate of Zen to Dilithium. Which is an interesting though, and really something I would more associate with EVE Online than anything else. But, it is plausible, I guess. I’m not sure what the mechanics of currency manipulation would be in this case, but if you are good at farming Dilithium, a low Z:D rate really is in your favor.
Past 8 weeks
| 10/15/2012 | 160 | 159 | 160 | 160 | 159 | 158 | 158 |
| 10/22/2012 | 158 | 158 | 158 | 158 | 158 | 158 | 157 |
| 10/29/2012 | 157 | 158 | 157 | 157 | 157 | 158 | 157 |
| 11/5/2012 | 158 | 158 | 158 | 159 | 160 | 159 | 159 |
| 11/12/2012 | 159 | 159 | 158 | 156 | 152 | 144 | 143 |
| 11/19/2012 | 143 | 144 | 148 | 146 | 141 | 137 | 130 |
| 11/26/2012 | 125 | 124 | 121 | 121 | 120 | 112 | 112 |
| 12/3/2012 | 111 | 111 | 111 | 110 | 101 | 103 | 103 |
| 12/10/2012 | 103 | 109 | 106 |
Hi Sam, I play STO. I just wanted to agree with a comment you made on the forum. The problem inherent in your "volume" measure, is that you are only tracking the zen that people don't want. There is no way to tell if millions more dilith or Zen is sold immediately to someone who is making an offer.
ReplyDeleteThat said... I think it's the best we can do, and it's way more clever than anything I came up with to track volume. But it does mean that trades that don't complete get more weight than ones that do.
Yeah, its really a case of me grabbing all the numbers I can and trying to make heads or tails of it. I believe Guild Wars 2 has an actual ticker or something, and I'd LOVE to have that. More details would be great. That said, I'm really not sure if Cryptic or Perfect World want to give out that much information.
DeleteThat said, I wouldn't call it trades people don't want so much as trades that are pending. Certainly, Dilithium buyers don't really want the current rates, I don't think. Likewise, Zen buyers probably want the rates even lower. The most favorable rate fluctuates during the day, so what was pending before might become the most favorable buying/selling rate later on.
I'd sooo sooo give somebody's hypothetical right arm for more data :D